A well-to-wheel life cycle assessment of carbon emissions in future driving scenarios revealing interdisciplinary policies for regional sustainable transportation

Mafi, Shahab; kakaee, Amirhasan; Mashhadi, Behrooz

doi:10.22068/ase.2026.739

Volume 16, Issue 3 (9-2026) ASE 2026, 16(3): 5118-5132 | Back to browse issues page

‎ 10.22068/ase.2026.739

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Mafi S, kakaee A, Mashhadi B. A well-to-wheel life cycle assessment of carbon emissions in future driving scenarios revealing interdisciplinary policies for regional sustainable transportation. ASE 2026; 16 (3) :5118-5132
URL: http://ase.iust.ac.ir/article-1-739-en.html

A well-to-wheel life cycle assessment of carbon emissions in future driving scenarios revealing interdisciplinary policies for regional sustainable transportation

Shahab Mafi

, Amirhasan Kakaee

, Behrooz Mashhadi

Automotive Engineering Department, Iran University of Science & Technology

Abstract: (55 Views)

This article introduces a scalable framework based on definition of probable future driving scenarios originated from multidisciplinary policies aimed at transport sustainability. The generation of realistic driving cycles based on recorded real microtrips is used for simulation of carbon emissions in future driving scenarios defined by target characteristic parameters. The suggested framework identifies possible contradicting multidisciplinary policies, highlighting the interdisciplinary requirement of policies for sustainable transportation in well-to-wheel life cycle. Battery electric vehicles were found to be unsustainable in regions with less than 30% share of renewable sources in electric grid, but substantial 25% reduction of carbon emissions is achieved with 50% share of renewables. The stability of clean power generation with different environmental conditions is highlighted. Emerging low carbon fuels, sustainable urbanization and less intensive driving habits would keep internal combustion engines as a dominant powertrain of choice in future fleets of private vehicles.

Keywords: Life cycle assessment, Urban mobility, Sustainable policymaking, Driving Scenario, Carbon emissions

Full-Text [PDF 1025 kb] (22 Downloads)

Type of Study: Research | Subject: Standards and tests